Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES64¢ (64%)
NO36¢ (36%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.2K • Updated 52m agoCloses: 2026-06-08 (4d)
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES at 64¢ · pays 1.6×
Price gap
Polymarket64¢
→OU's fair84¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Moderate
USGS data shows zero earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher have occurred globally since the start of the contract window on June 1 through June 4.
Wide edge+20¢
Closes in4d 6h
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