Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES47¢ (47%)
NO53¢ (53%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.5K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-15 (7d)
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
NO at 53¢ · pays 1.9×
Price gap
Polymarket53¢
→OU's fair74¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 1.9×
Confidence
Moderate
Global seismic activity averages approximately one magnitude 6.5 or higher earthquake every three days and a major M7.8 event occurred just one day prior to the window start.
Wide edge+21¢
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