How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
14¢
2¢
Polymarket • Volume: $11.5K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-06-30
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 10
at 14¢
Price gap
Polymarket14¢
→OU's fair12¢
−2¢ overpriced · pays 7.4×
Confidence
Moderate
USGS data confirms five qualifying earthquakes have occurred as of late May with five weeks remaining in the observation window.
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.