How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
33¢
31¢
7¢
Polymarket • Volume: $657.8K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 14–16
at 33¢
Price gap
Polymarket33¢
→OU's fair45¢
+12¢ underpriced · pays 3.0×
Confidence
Moderate
Global seismic data shows 5 major quakes through late May which aligns with the long-term annual average of approximately 15 events per year.
Wide edge+12¢
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