Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES2¢ (2%)
NO98¢ (98%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $7.1K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-17 (22d)
Polymarket · Financials
OU's Pick
YES at 2¢ · pays 54×
Price gap
Polymarket2¢
→OU's fair8¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 54×
Confidence
Moderate
Historical FOMC data shows that four or more dissents in a single meeting is extremely rare and has not occurred since 1992.
Off market consensus
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