Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES22¢ (22%)
NO78¢ (78%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.3K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 79¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Polymarket79¢
→OU's fair79¢
Confidence
Low
Historical data from the first Trump administration shows high turnover but reaching seven cabinet-level departures within the first two years is a high threshold.
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