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How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
36–39★ BEST43¢
44+38¢
28–319¢
40–434¢
32–350¢
<240¢
24–270¢
Polymarket • Volume: $57.1K • Updated 32m agoCloses: 2026-08-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · 36–39
at 43¢
Price gap
Polymarket43¢
OU's fair60¢
+17¢ underpriced · pays 2.3×
Confidence
Moderate

Search data confirms that thirty-six Republican House incumbents have already announced they are not seeking re-election for the 2026 cycle.

Wide edge+17¢
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