Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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Market price
YES76¢ (76%)
NO24¢ (24%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $4.1K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-06-07 (3d)
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 24¢ · pays 4.2×
Price gap
Polymarket24¢
→OU's fair45¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 4.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent reports indicate that transit levels remain significantly below historical averages with approximately 70 ships passing through over a three week period.
Wide edge+21¢
Closes in2d 20h
Off market consensus
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