How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
55¢
30¢
7¢
5¢
4¢
4¢
4¢
4¢
Polymarket • Volume: $452.2K • Updated 6m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
YES · 5-6
at 30¢
Price gap
Polymarket30¢
→OU's fair49¢
+19¢ underpriced · pays 3.4×
Confidence
Moderate
SpaceX has already completed 12 launches by May 2026 with 7 successes and maintains a high launch cadence that supports reaching the 5-6 success threshold by year end.
Wide edge+19¢
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