IA-04 House Election Winner
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
93¢
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Polymarket • Volume: $10K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Republican Party
at 93¢
Price gap
Polymarket93¢
→OU's fair88¢
−5¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Iowa's 4th district is a historically safe Republican seat that includes heavily conservative rural areas and has not elected a Democrat in decades.
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