Will the Republican Party win the IL-02 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES4¢ (4%)
NO96¢ (96%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $18.5K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 4¢ · pays 23×
Price gap
Polymarket4¢
→OU's fair5¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 23×
Confidence
Moderate
Illinois's 2nd Congressional District is a Democratic stronghold that has not elected a Republican to the House of Representatives in several decades.
Off market consensus
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