Will the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES96¢ (96%)
NO4¢ (4%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $14.8K • Updated 22m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 4¢ · pays 23×
Price gap
Polymarket4¢
→OU's fair6¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 23×
Confidence
Low
Illinois's 3rd Congressional District is a Democratic stronghold that has consistently elected Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent election cycles.
Off market consensus
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