Will the Republican Party win the IL-14 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES4¢ (4%)
NO96¢ (96%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.3K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 4¢ · pays 26×
Price gap
Polymarket4¢
→OU's fair76¢
+72¢ underpriced · pays 26×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood currently represents this district which has historically leaned toward her party and she is actively campaigning for the 2026 cycle.
Wide edge+72¢
Off market consensus
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