Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES94¢ (94%)
NO6¢ (6%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $16K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 94¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
→OU's fair95¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Republican Mary Miller represents a heavily conservative district and faces only a low-probability challenge from Democrat Jennifer Todd in the 2026 midterm election.
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