Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES10¢ (10%)
NO90¢ (90%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $9.1K • Updated 17m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 91¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket91¢
→OU's fair91¢
Confidence
Low
The Illinois 16th district is a heavily Republican-leaning seat currently held by Darin LaHood and is not considered a competitive target for Democrats in the 2026 cycle.
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