Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES6¢ (6%)
NO94¢ (94%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $12.2K • Updated 16m agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 6¢ · pays 18×
Price gap
Polymarket6¢
→OU's fair15¢
+9¢ underpriced · pays 18×
Confidence
Moderate
Illinois is a reliably Democratic state and FEC data shows Democratic candidates like Krishnamoorthi hold a massive fundraising advantage over their Republican counterparts.
Off market consensus
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