Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES80¢ (80%)
NO20¢ (20%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $9.3K • Updated 17m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 20¢ · pays 4.9×
Price gap
Polymarket20¢
→OU's fair20¢
Confidence
Low
Republicans have held this seat since 1993 and incumbent Victoria Spartz has already secured the Republican nomination for the 2026 election cycle.
Off market consensus
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