Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES3¢ (3%)
NO97¢ (97%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $72.2K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 3¢ · pays 36×
Price gap
Polymarket3¢
→OU's fair23¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 36×
Confidence
Moderate
A dated report from January 2026 indicates the President has threatened to invoke the Act in response to protests but no evidence confirms a formal invocation has occurred yet.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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