Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES33¢ (33%)
NO67¢ (67%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $20K • Updated 18m agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 33¢ · pays 3.0×
Price gap
Polymarket33¢
→OU's fair53¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 3.0×
Confidence
Moderate
Iowa has trended significantly toward the Republican party in recent election cycles and currently maintains a Republican trifecta in state government.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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