Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES99¢ (99%)
NO1¢ (1%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $14.7K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-02 (7d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 1¢ · pays 77×
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→OU's fair18¢
+17¢ underpriced · pays 77×
Confidence
Moderate
FEC filings show Ashley Hinson has raised over eight million dollars and maintains a significant cash advantage over potential primary challengers for the 2026 Senate seat.
Wide edge+17¢
Off market consensus
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