Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES38¢ (38%)
NO62¢ (62%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $63.3K • Updated 17m agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 63¢ · pays 1.6×
Price gap
Polymarket63¢
→OU's fair68¢
+5¢ underpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Joni Ernst is not seeking reelection and Republican candidates currently hold a significant fundraising advantage over the Democratic field in a state trending red.
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