Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES65¢ (65%)
NO35¢ (35%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $399.3K • Updated 6m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 36¢ · pays 2.8×
Price gap
Polymarket36¢
→OU's fair52¢
+16¢ underpriced · pays 2.8×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent Wikipedia and news snippets indicate ongoing 2026 negotiations where Iran has agreed to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by the end of the year.
Wide edge+16¢
High volume$10k
Off market consensus
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