Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES19¢ (19%)
NO81¢ (81%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $46.8K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 19¢ · pays 5.3×
Price gap
Polymarket19¢
→OU's fair39¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 5.3×
Confidence
Moderate
A tentative ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran reportedly includes a provision for unrestricted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by the end of June.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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