Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES8¢ (8%)
NO92¢ (92%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $196.2K • Updated 6h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 93¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket93¢
→OU's fair93¢
Confidence
Low
IAEA reports indicate Iran currently lacks a viable nuclear weapon design or a suitable explosive detonation system required for a successful test.
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