Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES13¢ (13%)
NO87¢ (87%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.5K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-10-27
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 13¢ · pays 7.5×
Price gap
Polymarket13¢
→OU's fair13¢
Confidence
Low
Current political instability and the formation of new opposition alliances create significant uncertainty regarding Likud's electoral performance in the upcoming Knesset elections.
Off market consensus
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