Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES77¢ (77%)
NO23¢ (23%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.3K • Updated 10h agoCloses: 2026-10-27
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 24¢ · pays 4.3×
Price gap
Polymarket24¢
→OU's fair25¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 4.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent polling from June 2026 shows a majority of Israeli voters favor the retirement of the current Likud leader while the party consistently trails in legislative projections.
Off market consensus
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.