Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES9¢ (9%)
NO91¢ (91%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.7K • Updated 57m agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (29d)
Polymarket · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
NO at 91¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket91¢
→OU's fair94¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Low
Britannica and Wikipedia report that Operation Epic Fury involved joint Israeli and US ground operations in Iran from February 28 through May 5 of 2026.
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.