Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES10¢ (10%)
NO90¢ (90%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $4.2K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 10¢ · pays 10×
Price gap
Polymarket10¢
→OU's fair28¢
+18¢ underpriced · pays 10×
Confidence
Moderate
Israel conducted strikes on Damascus in July 2025 and June 2026 according to search results and reports of military incursions in the capital.
Wide edge+18¢
Off market consensus
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