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Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES43¢ (43%)
NO57¢ (57%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $612.8K • Updated 57m agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (22d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES · Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
at 0¢
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair45¢
+45¢ underpriced
Confidence
Moderate

Israel conducted a series of airstrikes against Houthi targets in Yemen on May 5 2025 in response to ballistic missile attacks.

Wide edge+45¢
High volume$89k
Off market consensus
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