Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
54¢
35¢
12¢
0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $1.1M • Updated 29m agoCloses: 2026-06-30
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES · May 31
at 12¢
Price gap
Polymarket12¢
→OU's fair5¢
−7¢ overpriced · pays 8.4×
Confidence
Moderate
A temporary ceasefire was established in April 2026 but the parties have not reached a permanent peace agreement as of late May.
High volume$195k
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