Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
9¢
2¢
0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $1.2M • Updated 2d agoCloses: 2026-06-30
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES · June 30
at 9¢
Price gap
Polymarket9¢
→OU's fair10¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 11×
Confidence
Low
Search context indicates active hostilities and a failed ceasefire in April 2026 which makes a permanent peace deal by June highly improbable.
High volume$82k
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