Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES64¢ (64%)
NO36¢ (36%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $55.9K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-05-31 (5d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 64¢ · pays 1.6×
Price gap
Polymarket64¢
→OU's fair64¢
Confidence
Low
Recent search results indicate active conflict and a low probability for a permanent peace deal by the end of May 2026.
High volume$34k
Closes in5d 11h
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