Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? Odds & Analysis

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Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Price history — Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

YES70¢ (70%)

NO30¢ (30%)

Latest refresh · prices in cents

Polymarket • Volume: $4.3K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-06-22 (12d)

Polymarket · World

OU's Pick

NO at 30¢ · pays 3.3×

Price gap

Polymarket30¢

→

OU's fair31¢

+1¢ underpriced · pays 3.3×

Confidence

Low

Multiple reports confirm that Israel and Lebanon held high-level trilateral meetings on June 2 and 3 and have scheduled a follow-up round of talks for June 22.

Off market consensus

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