Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES52¢ (52%)
NO48¢ (48%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $12.1K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-05-31 (3d)
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 52¢ · pays 1.9×
Price gap
Polymarket52¢
→OU's fair72¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.9×
Confidence
Moderate
A Wikipedia entry confirms the Israeli Defense Forces publicly revealed a week-long raid that enabled forces to cross the Litani River on May 12 2026.
Wide edge+20¢
Closes in3d 16h
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