Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES1¢ (1%)
NO99¢ (99%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $313.8K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Polymarket · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
YES at 1¢ · pays 80×
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→OU's fair5¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 80×
Confidence
Moderate
Jimmy Lai remains a political prisoner in Hong Kong with no recent reports of an impending release or pardon before the June 30 deadline.
Off market consensus
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