Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES18¢ (18%)
NO82¢ (82%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $52.4K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 18¢ · pays 5.6×
Price gap
Polymarket18¢
→OU's fair25¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 5.6×
Confidence
Moderate
The legal process for a sexual assault charge involving a 2024 arrest typically takes over a year to reach a conviction verdict in the Canadian court system.
Off market consensus
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