Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES19¢ (19%)
NO81¢ (81%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $11.3K • Updated 25m agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 81¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket81¢
→OU's fair92¢
+11¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Roger Marshall maintains a massive fundraising advantage over a crowded field of Democratic challengers in a state that has not elected a Democratic Senator since 1932.
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