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Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES84¢ (84%)
NO16¢ (16%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $18.6K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 84¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket84¢
OU's fair84¢
Confidence
Low

The Kansas 4th district is a historically safe Republican seat that has been held by the party since 1994 and was won by double digits in the most recent election cycles.

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