Will the Democratic Party win the KY-04 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES10¢ (10%)
NO90¢ (90%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.8K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 90¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket90¢
→OU's fair90¢
Confidence
Low
Kentucky's 4th district is a safe Republican seat that has not elected a Democrat in decades and remains a stronghold for the GOP in the 2026 cycle.
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