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Will the Republican Party win the KY-05 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES94¢ (94%)
NO6¢ (6%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8.9K • Updated 23m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 94¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
OU's fair95¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

Kentucky's 5th district is one of the most reliably Republican seats in the country and has been held by Hal Rogers for over four decades.

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