Will the Democratic Party win the LA-04 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES10¢ (10%)
NO90¢ (90%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.4K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 91¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket91¢
→OU's fair95¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Louisiana's 4th District is a solidly Republican seat held by Speaker Mike Johnson and has not been competitive for Democrats in recent election cycles.
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