OVER / UNDER
la-mayoral-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ la-mayoral-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ la-mayoral-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ la-mayoral-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ la-mayoral-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ la-mayoral-election-1st-round-margin-of-victory ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
Bass 10–15%28¢
Bass 5–10%22¢
Bass 0–5%19¢
Pratt Wins18¢
Bass 15%+★ BEST13¢
Raman Wins1¢
Other1¢
Polymarket • Volume: $29.6K • Updated 6m agoCloses: 2026-06-02 (8d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Bass 15%+
at 13¢
Price gap
Polymarket13¢
→
OU's fair33¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 7.8×
Confidence
Moderate

Recent polling shows incumbent Karen Bass leading the field but facing a potential runoff against candidates like Spencer Pratt or Xavier Becerra.

Wide edge+20¢
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.