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LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
Karen Bass★ BEST83¢
Spencer Pratt16¢
Nithya Raman0¢
Monica Rodriguez0¢
Adam Miller0¢
Rick Caruso0¢
Asaad Alnajjar0¢
Lindsey Horvath0¢
Gina Viola0¢
Austin Beutner0¢
Rae Huang0¢
Candidate A0¢
Candidate G0¢
Candidate B0¢
Candidate C0¢
Candidate D0¢
Candidate E0¢
Candidate H0¢
Candidate K0¢
Candidate Q0¢
Candidate F0¢
Candidate R0¢
Candidate S0¢
Other0¢
Candidate J0¢
Candidate O0¢
Candidate L0¢
Candidate I0¢
Candidate P0¢
Candidate M0¢
Candidate N0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $81.1K • Updated 18m agoCloses: 2026-06-02 (8d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Karen Bass
at 83¢
Price gap
Polymarket83¢
→
OU's fair65¢
−18¢ overpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate

Recent polling and local news reports confirm incumbent Karen Bass maintains a significant lead over all challengers including Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman.

Wide edge+18¢
High volume$17k
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