Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES72¢ (72%)
NO28¢ (28%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-02 (2d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 29¢ · pays 3.5×
Price gap
Polymarket29¢
→OU's fair49¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 3.5×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent polling shows Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt as the top two candidates in a crowded field with no candidate expected to reach the majority threshold in the primary.
Wide edge+20¢
Closes in2d 0h
Off market consensus
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