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Lowest temperature in NYC on May 31?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
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Market price
54-55°F★ BEST100¢
44-45°F0¢
60-61°F0¢
43°F or below0¢
62°F or higher0¢
48-49°F0¢
46-47°F0¢
50-51°F0¢
58-59°F0¢
52-53°F0¢
56-57°F0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $44.1K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-05-31
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 54-55°F
at 100¢
Price gap
Polymarket100¢
→
OU's fair80¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.0×
Confidence
Moderate

The NOAA forecast for Monday night at LaGuardia specifically predicts a low of 55 degrees which aligns with the 54-55 degree range.

Wide edge+20¢
High volume$35k
Closes in6h
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