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Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 31?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
18°C100¢
20°C0¢
17°C0¢
19°C0¢
22°C0¢
23°C0¢
24°C0¢
25°C or higher0¢
15°C or below0¢
16°C0¢
21°C★ BEST0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $24K • Updated 57m agoCloses: 2026-05-31
Polymarket · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
YES · 21°C
at 0¢
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair20¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 2000×
Confidence
Moderate

AccuWeather forecasts overnight lows between 21 and 24 Celsius for late May in Shanghai which aligns with the 21 degree threshold as a central possibility.

Wide edge+20¢
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