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Will the Democratic Party win the MA-06 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES95¢ (95%)
NO5¢ (5%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.8K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 6¢ · pays 18×
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair
+2¢ underpriced · pays 18×
Confidence
Moderate

Massachusetts District 6 is a safe Democratic seat held by Seth Moulton and the district has not elected a Republican in over two decades.

Off market consensus
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