Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES48¢ (48%)
NO52¢ (52%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $2.6K • Updated 36m agoCloses: 2026-09-01
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 48¢ · pays 2.1×
Price gap
Polymarket48¢
→OU's fair68¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 2.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Stephen Lynch is the long-term incumbent and FEC filings show he is actively raising funds for his 2026 reelection campaign in the Massachusetts 8th district.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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