Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES29¢ (29%)
NO71¢ (71%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $375.1K • Updated 16m agoCloses: 2027-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 71¢ · pays 1.4×
Price gap
Polymarket71¢
→OU's fair85¢
+14¢ underpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Maduro is currently in US custody facing severe narco-terrorism charges that typically carry lengthy prison sentences following his scheduled June 2026 court appearance.
Wide edge+14¢
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