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Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES12¢ (12%)
NO88¢ (88%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $4.1K • Updated 5h agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 88¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket88¢
OU's fair88¢
Confidence
Low

Maine is a swing state with an open seat in 2026 but Republicans have not won a gubernatorial election there since 2014.

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